Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000540 0.000618 0.000702 0.000798 0.000903 0.001016 0.001146
2025-07-27 0.000413 0.000520 0.000643 0.000793 0.000969 0.001169 0.001411
2025-08-03 0.000338 0.000456 0.000598 0.000778 0.000999 0.001259 0.001585
2025-08-10 0.000293 0.000420 0.000578 0.000787 0.001052 0.001374 0.001788
2025-08-17 0.000256 0.000386 0.000556 0.000789 0.001092 0.001470 0.001967
2025-08-24 0.000215 0.000343 0.000517 0.000762 0.001092 0.001512 0.002079
2025-08-31 0.000183 0.000307 0.000483 0.000738 0.001092 0.001552 0.002185
2025-09-07 0.000162 0.000286 0.000466 0.000736 0.001118 0.001626 0.002336
2025-09-14 0.000145 0.000268 0.000452 0.000736 0.001147 0.001703 0.002492
2025-09-21 0.000128 0.000248 0.000435 0.000729 0.001163 0.001761 0.002624
2025-09-28 0.000112 0.000228 0.000414 0.000715 0.001170 0.001806 0.002736
2025-10-05 0.000105 0.000223 0.000416 0.000736 0.001225 0.001920 0.002947
2025-10-12 0.000097 0.000215 0.000413 0.000748 0.001270 0.002021 0.003144
2025-10-19 0.000087 0.000200 0.000399 0.000741 0.001286 0.002080 0.003282
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000185 0.000381 0.000728 0.001289 0.002120 0.003394
2025-11-02 0.000070 0.000178 0.000377 0.000736 0.001326 0.002212 0.003582
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000169 0.000369 0.000738 0.001353 0.002287 0.003747
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000153 0.000347 0.000713 0.001335 0.002294 0.003812
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000139 0.000326 0.000690 0.001320 0.002304 0.003880
2025-11-30 0.000042 0.000131 0.000318 0.000688 0.001338 0.002366 0.004026
2025-12-07 0.000038 0.000125 0.000312 0.000688 0.001361 0.002435 0.004184
2025-12-14 0.000034 0.000117 0.000301 0.000681 0.001369 0.002481 0.004308
2025-12-21 0.000030 0.000108 0.000289 0.000668 0.001368 0.002511 0.004408